MULTI-LAYERED HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF DEFORMATION FORECAST MODEL
Liang Quanqiang 1) ;Lin Shu Bing 1) ;Huang Shengming 2) ; and Liu Xuyan 2)
1)Xiamen Research Centre of Seismologic Surveying,Xiamen 3610212)Earthquake Administration of Fujian Province,Fuzhou 350003
Abstract In view of the shortcoming that the recursion algorithm is usually used to model time series, a new algorithm suitable for the forecast model parameter’s estimatation is proposed, which naturalizes the deformation model noise to the deformation forecast model parameter based on the principle of dynamic system model parameter randomisation,and uses the multilayer hierarchical analysis method to establish deformation forecast model. The analysis of the Tianma and Xiamen station’s data indicates that the deformation forecast precision is improved obviously.
Key words ：
earthquake
deformation observation sequence
dynamic observation system
forecast model of deformation
multilayered hierarchical analysis
Received: 01 January 1900
Corresponding Authors:
Liang Quanqiang
Cite this article:
Liang Quanqiang ,Lin Shu Bing ,Huang Shengming et al. MULTI-LAYERED HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF DEFORMATION FORECAST MODEL[J]. , 2007, 27(5): 76-81.
Liang Quanqiang ,Lin Shu Bing ,Huang Shengming et al. MULTI-LAYERED HIERARCHICAL ANALYSIS OF DEFORMATION FORECAST MODEL[J]. jgg, 2007, 27(5): 76-81.
URL:
http://www.jgg09.com/EN/ OR http://www.jgg09.com/EN/Y2007/V27/I5/76
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